26 Oct. 2026

26–30 Oct. 2026

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• AUD/USD

Update: AUD/USD enters the week facing a crucial test of direction as investors assess the Reserve Bank of Australia outlook and upcoming Australian inflation figures. Recent hawkish RBA commentary has provided some support to the Australian dollar, but elevated oil prices and fragile global risk sentiment continue to complicate the recovery. The Federal Reserve decision may also drive significant moves in the U.S. dollar. A sustained recovery above 0.6950 would improve short-term momentum and expose 0.7030. Conversely, failure to defend 0.6850 could renew downside pressure toward 0.6780. Price action around these levels may determine whether the pair establishes a base or resumes its broader correction.

• EUR/USD

Update: EUR/USD remains vulnerable after another week of euro weakness, with higher energy costs, French fiscal concerns and softer euro-area activity weighing on sentiment. The latest euro-area flash PMI pointed to slower expansion, increasing the challenge for the European Central Bank as it balances inflation pressures against growth risks. Both the ECB and Federal Reserve announce policy decisions this week, creating the potential for a sharp repricing of interest-rate expectations. The 1.1200 area represents initial resistance, followed by 1.1300. A sustained break below 1.1050 would reinforce the bearish structure and expose 1.0950, while a recovery above resistance could trigger a corrective rebound.

• GBP/JPY

Update: GBP/JPY enters a potentially volatile week as the United Kingdom prepares to announce its budget and the Bank of Japan delivers its latest policy decision. Sterling has benefited from relative resilience against the euro, but fiscal uncertainty and the market response to the UK budget could quickly alter the outlook. The yen, meanwhile, has attracted safe-haven demand during recent episodes of equity-market weakness, even as economists generally expect the BOJ to leave rates unchanged at this meeting. The 212.00 region is the first upside level to watch, with 214.00 beyond it. On the downside, a move below 208.00 would expose 206.00 and suggest that recent recovery attempts are losing momentum.

• GBP/USD

Update: GBP/USD approaches the week with several important catalysts capable of changing its short-term direction. The UK budget will put fiscal credibility and the growth outlook in focus, while the Federal Reserve decision may determine the next major move in the U.S. dollar. Sterling has shown relative resilience against the euro, although elevated energy prices and uncertain risk appetite remain potential headwinds. The 1.3400 region represents an important resistance level, followed by 1.3500. A sustained move above these levels would support a broader recovery. On the downside, the 1.3250 area is the first support to monitor, with 1.3150 providing a further downside reference if selling pressure accelerates.

• XAU/USD

Update: Gold enters the week under pressure as its broader corrective trend continues to challenge important support. Recent technical analysis highlights the risk of a deeper decline if the current support zone fails, although geopolitical uncertainty and concerns about global equity valuations may still encourage safe-haven demand. The Federal Reserve decision will be particularly important because changes in U.S. yields and the dollar can influence the opportunity cost of holding gold. The 4,200 region is the first resistance to watch, followed by 4,300. On the downside, a sustained move below 4,100 could expose the psychological 4,000 area. A convincing recovery above resistance would be needed to improve the near-term technical outlook.